Is USFD a Buy? USFD Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)
Our model currently rates USFD as a Sell.
Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for USFD (USFD).
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
- ✓Fundament Score Analysis
- ✓Fair Value Analysis
- ✓Industry Trend
Fair Value Analysis
Weighted Fair Value
$61.51
Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)
Current Price
$79.03
Individual Valuation Methods:
DCF Model Assumptions:
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
This stock receives a score of 56.97/100 with a Sell recommendation. Financial health scored 37.59/55, competitive position 6.75/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 4.29/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.
Overvalued by 22.17%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that overvalued at current market prices by 22.17%. The weighted fair value of $61.51 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.
Industry Context: Consumer Discretionary
2026 Trend: 📉 Negative Outlook
Negative outlook reflects consumer balance sheet deterioration with rising credit card debt and declining savings, compounded by high interest rates pressuring discretionary spending. AI personalization benefits offset by recession risk and intense competition.
Bubble Watch: Consumer Leverage Peak
Consumer debt-to-income at elevated levels while savings rates compress. Recession or income shock could trigger default wave and demand collapse.
Key 2026 Outlook Points
- →AI shopping assistants transform e-commerce experience and discovery
- →Ultra-luxury and discount retail thriving (barbell effect) while middle market struggles
- →Sustainable fashion gaining scale as younger consumers prioritize ESG
- →Direct-to-consumer models capturing margin from retail consolidation
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