Is PHM a Buy? PHM Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)

Our model currently rates PHM as a Buy.

Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for PHM (PHM).

Last Analyzed: 13/01/2026

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

PHM (PHM)
$133.43
Fundament Score Analysis
76.76/100
Fair Value Analysis
Current Price
$133.43
Fair Value
$301.86
Undervalued by 126.2%
Buy recommendation based on:
  • Fundament Score Analysis
  • Fair Value Analysis
  • Industry Trend
Confidence Level: /10

Fair Value Analysis

Weighted Fair Value

$301.86

Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)

Current Price

$133.43

Undervalued by 126.24%

Individual Valuation Methods:

Available
$256.29
Available
$389.58
Available
$259.72
Invalid fair value calculation result
N/A

DCF Model Assumptions:

Growth Rate: 8.95%
Discount Rate: 8.6%
Terminal Growth: 3.5%
Projection: 5 years

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

This stock receives a score of 76.76/100 with a Buy recommendation. Financial health scored 48.7/55, competitive position 14.25/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 5.47/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.

Undervalued by 126.24%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that undervalued at current market prices by 126.24%. The weighted fair value of $301.86 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.

Industry Context: Consumer Staples

Defensive
↔️ Neutral

2026 Trend: ↔️ Neutral Outlook

Neutral outlook reflects resilient demand during slowdowns balanced by margin pressure from commodity inflation and private label competition. Emerging market growth potential offset by mature market saturation and rising compliance costs.

Bubble Watch: Margin Compression

High input costs may outpace ability to raise prices. Consumer push-back on inflation could force brands to absorb margin pressure.

Key 2026 Outlook Points

  • AI-driven supply chain optimization reducing waste and costs
  • Personalized nutrition and wellness premium driving premiumization
  • Sustainability and regenerative agriculture becoming customer requirement
  • Global supply chain resilience investments bolstering long-term margins