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Is VST a Buy? VST Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)

Our model currently rates VST as a Sell.

Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for VST (VST).

Last Analyzed: 13/01/2026

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

VST (VST)
$172.87
Fundament Score Analysis
60.9/100
Fair Value Analysis
Current Price
$172.87
Fair Value
$68.25
Overvalued by 60.5%
Sell recommendation based on:
  • ✓Fundament Score Analysis
  • ✓Fair Value Analysis
  • ✓Industry Trend
Confidence Level: –/10

Fair Value Analysis

Weighted Fair Value

$68.25

Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)

Current Price

$172.87

Overvalued by 60.52%

Individual Valuation Methods:

Discounted Cash FlowOpen Discounted Cash Flow definition
Available
$59.03
Peter Lynch Fair ValueOpen Peter Lynch Fair Value definition
Available
$99.35
Trading Multiples PEOpen Trading Multiples PE definition
Available
$46.36
Earnings Power ValueOpen Earnings Power Value definition
Invalid fair value calculation result
N/A

DCF Model Assumptions:

Growth Rate: -15%
Discount Rate: 8.6%
Terminal Growth: 3.5%
Projection: 5 years

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

This stock receives a score of 60.90/100 with a Sell recommendation. Financial health scored 35.06/55, competitive position 10/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 7.5/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.

Overvalued by 60.52%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that overvalued at current market prices by 60.52%. The weighted fair value of $68.25 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.

Industry Context: Utilities

Defensive
📈 Positive

2026 Trend: 📈 Positive Outlook

Positive outlook supported by AI data center power demand requiring massive grid expansion, regulated rate-base growth providing inflation protection, and renewable energy transition. Rising rates pressure valuation multiples but benefit underlying business models.

Bubble Watch: Rate Sensitivity

Utilities valued as fixed-income proxy. If yields rise or growth disappointment occurs, valuations could compress. Rising rates benefit business model but hurt investor returns.

Key 2026 Outlook Points

  • →Grid modernization and resilience becomes regulatory priority
  • →Data center demand transforms utility topology and investment profile
  • →Battery storage integration solving renewable intermittency
  • →Real-time pricing mechanisms and smart grid technology adoption
View full sector analysis & deep insights →