Is SPG a Buy? SPG Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)
Our model currently rates SPG as a Hold.
Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for SPG (SPG).
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
- ✓Fundament Score Analysis
- ✓Fair Value Analysis
- ✓Industry Trend
Fair Value Analysis
Weighted Fair Value
$136.87
Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)
Current Price
$184.69
Individual Valuation Methods:
DCF Model Assumptions:
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
This stock receives a score of 61.75/100 with a Hold recommendation. Financial health scored 37.4/55, competitive position 11.5/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 4.51/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.
Overvalued by 25.89%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that overvalued at current market prices by 25.89%. The weighted fair value of $136.87 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.
Industry Context: Real Estate
2026 Trend: 📉 Negative Outlook
Negative outlook dominated by office debt crisis with significant REIT debt maturities in 2025-2026 at loan values below building valuations. While AI data center and logistics properties show strength, office weakness and refinancing risk overshadow near-term outlook.
Bubble Watch: Office Debt Crisis
Significant office REIT debt matures in 2025-2026 with building values below loan balances. Refinancing at higher rates could force distressed sales and further cap-rate expansion.
Key 2026 Outlook Points
- →AI data center real estate premium expansion as competition intensifies
- →Mixed-use properties with residential and tech flex space outperform
- →Industrial 4.0 automation changing warehouse and logistics requirements
- →Sustainable real estate certifications (LEED, net-zero) becoming tenant requirement