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Is MRNA a Buy? MRNA Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)

Our model currently rates MRNA as a Hold.

Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for MRNA (MRNA).

Last Analyzed: 10/01/2026

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

MRNA (MRNA)
$34.30
Fundament Score Analysis
52.55/100
Hold recommendation based on:
  • ✓Fundament Score Analysis
  • ✗Fair Value Analysis
  • ✓Industry Trend
Confidence Level: –/10

Fair Value Analysis

Fair value estimate not available

We are unable to provide a fair value analysis for this stock at this time.

Limited Data Available

Some important financial metrics are missing or unavailable. This may affect the accuracy of our analysis.

Missing data: P/E Ratio

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

This stock receives a score of 52.55/100 with a hold recommendation. Financial health scored 24.23/55, competitive position 19/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 0.98/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.

Industry Context: Healthcare

Defensive
📈 Positive

2026 Trend: 📈 Positive Outlook

Positive outlook supported by aging demographics driving secular growth, innovative drug approvals beyond GLP-1, and persistent pricing power. Despite regulatory risks and GLP-1 hype normalization, fundamental healthcare demand growth remains strong.

Bubble Watch: GLP-1 Hype Peak

GLP-1 drug manufacturers (Novo, Eli Lilly, Viking) trading at premium valuations on blockbuster expectations. Saturation, generic competition, and side effects could deflate valuations significantly.

Key 2026 Outlook Points

  • →AI-driven drug discovery accelerates time-to-market, improving success rates
  • →GLP-1 market matures with competing offerings and generics
  • →Real-world outcomes data becomes reimbursement standard
  • →Precision medicine and genetic therapies gaining mainstream adoption
View full sector analysis & deep insights →