Is IP a Buy? IP Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)

Our model currently rates IP as a Sell.

Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for IP (IP).

Last Analyzed: 13/01/2026

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

IP (IP)
$42.60
Fundament Score Analysis
47.77/100
Fair Value Analysis
Current Price
$42.60
Fair Value
$35.50
Overvalued by 16.7%
Sell recommendation based on:
  • Fundament Score Analysis
  • Fair Value Analysis
  • Industry Trend
Confidence Level: /10

Fair Value Analysis

Weighted Fair Value

$35.50

Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)

Current Price

$42.60

Overvalued by 16.68%

Individual Valuation Methods:

Available
$35.50
EPS Growth is negative
N/A
Invalid fair value calculation result
N/A
Invalid fair value calculation result
N/A

DCF Model Assumptions:

Growth Rate: -15%
Discount Rate: 8.6%
Terminal Growth: 3.5%
Projection: 5 years
Limited Data Available

Some important financial metrics are missing or unavailable. This may affect the accuracy of our analysis.

Missing data: P/E Ratio

Stock Analysis & Score Explanation

This stock receives a score of 47.77/100 with a Sell recommendation. Financial health scored 30.53/55, competitive position 7.75/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 1.16/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.

Overvalued by 16.68%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that overvalued at current market prices by 16.68%. The weighted fair value of $35.50 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.

Industry Context: Materials

Cyclical
↔️ Neutral

2026 Trend: ↔️ Neutral Outlook

Neutral outlook reflects conflicting forces: critical minerals demand from EV transition and renewable energy supporting pricing, offset by potential oversupply of lithium and other battery materials. Cyclical risks from construction/auto demand weakness remain.

Bubble Watch: Commodity Oversupply

Critical minerals supply expansion coming online could flip market from deficit to surplus. Prices could compress sharply if demand growth disappoints.

Key 2026 Outlook Points

  • Lithium oversupply narrative shifts to pricing pressure
  • Recycled battery materials gaining share from primary production
  • AI minerals mapping and extraction optimization reducing costs
  • Geopolitical supply chains reshoring reducing China dependency