Is CMC a Buy? CMC Stock Analysis & Fair Value (2026)
Our model currently rates CMC as a Sell.
Get the latest investment score, DCF valuation, and buy/sell/hold insights for CMC (CMC).
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
- ✓Fundament Score Analysis
- ✓Fair Value Analysis
- ✓Industry Trend
Fair Value Analysis
Weighted Fair Value
$70.64
Based on Multiple Valuation Methods (Weighted Average)
Current Price
$74.49
Individual Valuation Methods:
DCF Model Assumptions:
Stock Analysis & Score Explanation
This stock receives a score of 59.00/100 with a Sell recommendation. Financial health scored 38.72/55, competitive position 6.25/25, macro risk assessment 8.34/10, and risk-adjusted returns 5.69/10. The analysis considers current market conditions and fundamental metrics. This score reflects the financial health, growth potential, and overall valuation of the stock, helping investors determine whether it may be overvalued or undervalued. Learn more about the AInvestor Score and how it is calculated. See how we convert scores and fair-value signals into actionable labels in the AInvestor Recommendation glossary entry.
Overvalued by 5.17%. Our detailed stock valuation analysis indicates that overvalued at current market prices by 5.17%. The weighted fair value of $70.64 is calculated using multiple proven valuation methods, including Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), Peter Lynch Fair Value, Trading Multiples P/E, and Earnings Power Value (EPV). This comprehensive stock analysis is designed to guide informed investment decisions.
Industry Context: Materials
2026 Trend: ↔️ Neutral Outlook
Neutral outlook reflects conflicting forces: critical minerals demand from EV transition and renewable energy supporting pricing, offset by potential oversupply of lithium and other battery materials. Cyclical risks from construction/auto demand weakness remain.
Bubble Watch: Commodity Oversupply
Critical minerals supply expansion coming online could flip market from deficit to surplus. Prices could compress sharply if demand growth disappoints.
Key 2026 Outlook Points
- →Lithium oversupply narrative shifts to pricing pressure
- →Recycled battery materials gaining share from primary production
- →AI minerals mapping and extraction optimization reducing costs
- →Geopolitical supply chains reshoring reducing China dependency